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Ahead of Earnings, Is SAP Stock a Buy, a Sell, or Fairly Valued?

Investors will focus on cloud growth and backlog trends, with any signs of slowing demand amid rising energy costs likely to drive the stock reaction.

The SAP logo on headquarter exterior.
SAP SE/Stephan Daub

SAP is set to release its first-quarter 2026 earnings report on April 23. Here’s Morningstar’s take on what to look for in SAP’s earnings and the outlook for its stock.

SAP SAP

Analyst: Rob Hales, CFA

SAP Earnings Release Date

SAP will release its Q1 2026 results on April 23, at around 10:05 PM CEST.

What to Watch for in SAP’s Q1 Earnings

  • Cloud revenue growth and current cloud backlog growth remain key:
    • Cloud revenue growth: Q1 consensus is 18%
    • Current cloud backlog growth: 2026 guidance is for constant currency growth to slightly decelerate from the 2025 level of 25%. So consensus likely expects around 23-24% in Q1.
  • The market will be looking for any negative signs on business momentum related to the war in Iran and subsequent higher energy costs, given SAP’s manufacturing-heavy client base. So any comments like “elongated sales cycles” that would put doubt in 2026 guidance would likely cause a sharp reaction the stock price.

The author or authors do not own shares in any securities mentioned in this article. Find out about Morningstar's editorial policies.