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US Federal Reserve Raises Rates; We Expect Cuts Next Year
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in three years.
Don’t Panic About a US Bond Market Selloff
But if you are worried about the US debt, there may be a better route than gold’s ‘debasement’ trade.
Bank of Japan Outlook: Rate Hike Likely to Support Yen
We see the Bank of Japan on a gradual path toward higher interest rates to defend the yen.
Why the Odds of a US Fed Interest Rate Hike Just Shot Higher
Sticky inflation data is strengthening the case for tighter policy.
ECB Hikes Rates and Raises Both Inflation and Growth Forecasts
While the increase was expected, the central bank’s comments and updated forecasts have boosted expectations for further rate hikes this year.
ECB Rate Decision: What to Expect on Thursday
Rising energy prices make a rate hike highly likely, but the erratic war in Iran makes the path forward less certain.
Will the US Fed Hike Interest Rates in September?
The new Fed chair’s Jackson Hole speech appeared focused on strengthening his anti-inflation credentials, economists say.
Eurozone Inflation Rises to 3.3%, Boosting Case for ECB Interest Rate Hike
Increase in August inflation comes amid rising energy prices as Middle East hostilities intensify.
What Europe’s Extreme Summer Means for Stocks and the Economy
Heat, drought, and wildfires are weighing on European growth and corporate profits, threatening to extend the economic fallout well beyond the summer.
Why Bond Yields Are Rising—And Might Keep Heading Higher
Major bond markets are under pressure thanks to massive AI debt sales, fiscal woes, and inflation concerns.
The US Fed’s New Philosophy Could Be a Recipe for Interest Rate Volatility
Kevin Warsh is chasing a historical mirage in his goal to untether the bond market from Fed communication.
Will the ECB Raise Interest Rates Again in 2026, But Cut Them in 2027?
Markets almost unanimously expect another ECB rate hike in September.
What 7 Key Indicators Tell Investors About US Markets Right Now
Gold and bitcoin have retreated from recent highs, but most major market indicators still sit above long-term averages.
US GDP Growth Is Stronger Than It Looks, but There’s a Red Flag
Consumer spending and business investment point to stronger underlying growth than the headline GDP figure suggests, but a shrinking household savings rate could become a problem.
Eurozone Inflation Surprises to the Upside, September ECB Rate Hike Now More Likely
Inflation in July rose by 2.9% year over year, above forecasts.
US Fed Holds Steady in July, Giving Few Hints On What’s to Come
Warsh points to bond yields as a verdict on the economy, but the Fed’s new communication style leaves investors with little to go on.
Eurozone Inflation Outlook: Will Higher Energy Prices Force the ECB to Raise Rates?
Economists expect inflation to remain elevated on higher energy prices, making a September ECB rate hike increasingly likely.
What to Expect from the July Fed Meeting
Officials will weigh recent improved inflation data against the latest spike in oil prices, but investors may have to make do with less communication under Warsh.
Global Energy Crunch Entering a ‘More Dangerous’ Phase
A sustained oil price surge could drive inflation fears, or even spark a global recession, analysts say.
ECB Holds Rates Steady as September Hike Moves Into Focus
The European Central Bank kept rates unchanged after raising them in June, with a September rate increase remaining a distinct possibility.
