Economy
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Interest Rates
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Despite Big Trade War Headlines, the Economic Impact May Be Small
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What the Weak August Jobs Report Means for the Bank of Canada Rate Outlook
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As Bank of Canada Keeps Rate Steady, Analysts Expect Pause to Continue
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Global Bond Selloff Extends as Rate Hike Expectations Grow
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Bank of Canada Expected to Hold Rates Amid Renewed Trade War
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Warsh Sounds Hawkish, but Will There Be a September Rate Hike in the US?
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Canada’s Economy Looked Strong in Q2, But Economists Say It Won’t Last
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Trade War Escalation Deepens Uncertainty for Canadian Economy
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What Is Driving the Canadian Dollar’s Rise Against the US Dollar?
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Will the ECB Raise Interest Rates Again in 2026, but Cut Them in 2027?
More In Economy
Trade War Escalation Deepens Uncertainty for Canadian Economy
Tariffs could hurt the economy, but analysts don’t see the Bank of Canada immediately responding.
What Europe’s Extreme Weather Means for Its Stocks and Economy
Heat, drought, and wildfires are weighing on European growth and corporate profits, threatening to extend the economic fallout well beyond the summer.
Higher Gas Prices Fueled July Inflation Rise, but Not Enough for a 2026 Rate Hike
Economists see the underlying inflation trend as contained, giving the Bank of Canada breathing room.
Will the ECB Raise Interest Rates Again in 2026, but Cut Them in 2027?
Markets almost unanimously expect another ECB rate hike in September.
Hiring Surged in July, but Bank of Canada Seen Holding Steady on Rates
A still-elevated unemployment rate and a trade negotiation overhang should keep the central bank on the sidelines, economists say.
Where the Stock Market May Be Heading Next and What to Buy Now
Morningstar’s chief market strategist and economist share their outlooks for the second half of 2026.
Morningstar DBRS: As Smoke Sweeps Across Canada, Insurers Are Relatively Unscathed
Despite the scale of the fires, claims are likely to be limited, and insurers are well-positioned to absorb moderate losses.
Global Energy Crunch Entering a ‘More Dangerous’ Phase
A sustained oil price surge could drive inflation fears, or even spark a global recession, analysts say.
Trump’s Fresh 50% Tariffs May Look Big, but Analysts Play Down the Likely Impact
While the announced tariffs could dent the Canadian economy, analysts say they are likely a negotiating tactic.
Lower Gas Prices Ease Inflation, Keeping Bank of Canada on Hold
Analysts broadly expect Canadian inflation to have peaked, with the worst of the price surge now in the rearview mirror.
Jeremy Grantham on SpaceX: It Will Be Amazing If It Doesn’t Collapse
The outspoken co-founder of GMO calls SpaceX ‘the craziest IPO in the history of man.’
Morningstar DBRS Economic Update: The US Powers Through, While Canada Aims to Recover
Aided by a stabilizing job market, we expect the Canadian economy to gain steam in the second half of 2026.
Higher Gas Prices Send Canada’s Inflation to a Two-Year Peak
The recent pullback in oil prices and stable core measures will allow the Bank of Canada to remain on hold through year-end, analysts say.
Keeping Interest Rates Steady, Bank of Canada Acknowledges Its “Dilemma”
Crosscurrents of Iran-war-driven energy inflation and a cooling economy could keep the Bank on hold until next year, analysts say.
What to Expect on Interest Rates from the Bank of Canada’s June Meeting
The Bank is weighing Iran-war-driven energy inflation and mixed news on economic growth.
Surprise Job Gains in May Are Unlikely to Spur a Bank of Canada Rate Move
A resilient labor market gives the Bank of Canada room to hold rates, even as the economy grapples with energy inflation and trade uncertainty, analysts say.
Why Is the Canadian Dollar Falling?
Analysts expected the loonie to continue rising against the US dollar in 2026, but those calls haven’t panned out.
Surprise First-Quarter GDP Contraction Pushes Canada Into Technical Recession
The economy has weakened again, but analysts say it’s not enough to warrant an interest rate cut.
Morningstar DBRS: How the Ottawa-Alberta Energy Agreement Lays Groundwork for West Coast Crude Pipeline
While advances are incremental, the agreement marks a transition from policy alignment to an execution plan.
Despite Gas-Fueled Inflation, April CPI Seen Giving Bank of Canada Room to Avoid Rate Hikes
Continued moderation in inflation excluding energy takes the edge off the CPI jump, analysts say.
