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Surprise Job Gains in May Are Unlikely to Spur a Bank of Canada Rate Move

A resilient labor market gives the Bank of Canada room to hold rates, even as the economy grapples with energy inflation and trade uncertainty, analysts say.

Why Is the Canadian Dollar Falling?

Analysts expected the loonie to continue rising against the US dollar in 2026, but those calls haven’t panned out.

Surprise First-Quarter GDP Contraction Pushes Canada Into Technical Recession

The economy has weakened again, but analysts say it’s not enough to warrant an interest rate cut.

Morningstar DBRS: How the Ottawa-Alberta Energy Agreement Lays Groundwork for West Coast Crude Pipeline

While advances are incremental, the agreement marks a transition from policy alignment to an execution plan.

Despite Gas-Fueled Inflation, April CPI Seen Giving Bank of Canada Room to Avoid Rate Hikes

Continued moderation in inflation excluding energy takes the edge off the CPI jump, analysts say.

Weak Jobs Data Douses Expectations for Bank of Canada Rate Hike

A cooling job market may absorb energy-driven inflation without forcing central bank intervention, analysts say.

As Powell Closes Out Term as US Fed Chair, Odds of Rate Cut in 2026 Vanish

The eventual fading of oil-driven impacts should allow for US interest rate cuts in 2027.

Bank of Canada Signals Inflation-Fighting Rate Hikes Could Be in the Cards

Even as the Bank kept interest rates steady, analysts say it’s ready to hike if oil prices feed lasting inflation.

What to Expect from the Bank of Canada’s April Meeting

Despite persistent Iran war-driven energy inflation, analysts expect the Bank to hold interest rates steady on Wednesday.

Oil Surge from Iran War Fuels Canadian Inflation Spike in March

Despite a pickup in consumer prices, analysts think tamer core measures will keep the Bank of Canada on the sidelines.

March Jobs Report Showed Modest Hiring: Bank of Canada Expected to Stay on Sidelines

Geopolitics and trade-driven uncertainty continue to cloud Canada’s economic outlook, analysts say.

Why Are Canadian Bond Yields Surging Even as the Economy Struggles?

The Canadian bond market is beholden to the Iran war and the Bank of Canada’s reaction to it.

Will the Bank of Canada Raise Rates This Year?

Depending on how large, widespread, and persistent energy price increases are, analysts say the precise path remains to be seen.

Bank of Canada Holds Rates but Flags Oil-Shock Risks

Analysts say higher inflation and slower growth complicate the Bank’s policy outlook.

What to Expect from the Bank of Canada’s March Meeting

Policymakers are expected to held interest rates steady but acknowledge the risk of higher oil prices.

Canadian Inflation Falls in February, but Oil Shock Keeps the Lid on Rate Cut Prospects

Another tame inflation report will be welcomed by policymakers ahead of the energy price spike, analysts say.

Sharp Decline in February Jobs Numbers Throws Cold Water on Rate Hike Prospects

Worsening labor market weakness will push the Bank of Canada to look past rising energy inflation driven by the Iran war, analysts say.

Will the Iran War Oil Shock Alter the Bank of Canada’s Rate Outlook?

Analysts say the scale and duration of the conflict will shape the central bank’s policy.

GDP Falls Unexpectedly In Fourth Quarter, but the Bank of Canada Is Unlikely to Move On Rates Yet

A slowdown in manufacturing was the biggest driver of the quarter’s economic contraction.

Analysts: Canada Still In Trump’s Trade Crosshairs, Despite US Supreme Court Decision

Economists warn that Trump could use other means to tariff Canada.